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<entry>
    <title>Book Review - The Audacity of Hope by Barack Obama, III</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/005404.html" />
    <id>tag:www.handfulofsand.com,2008://1.5404</id>

    <published>2008-11-11T13:14:48Z</published>
    <updated>2008-11-07T19:42:06Z</updated>

    <summary>or the past several days I have been discussing President-Elect Obama&apos;s 2006 book, The Audacity of Hope. On Friday I focused on the first half of the text, and yesterday I discussed the chapters on faith and race. Today I...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>gabriel</name>
        <uri>http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/</uri>
    </author>
    
        <category term="Book Reviews" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
        <category term="Books" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
        <category term="Politics" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.handfulofsand.com/">
        <![CDATA[<p><img align=right id="bookphoto" src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/books/obama_audacity.jpg" alt="obama_audacity.jpg"/><img align=left src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/letters/f.gif" title="F" alt="F"/>or the past several days I have been discussing President-Elect Obama's 2006 book, <a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0307237702/handfulofsand-20"><i>The Audacity of Hope</i></a>.  On Friday I <a href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003113.html">focused</a> on the first half of the text, and yesterday I <a href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003115.html">discussed</a> the chapters on faith and race.  Today I want to finish with the last two chapters of this extraordinary book, which cover foreign policy and family.</p>

<p>This seems a strange way to end the book.  Certainly each is an important topic, and there is no requirement that each chapter flow easily into the next.  But the initial sense that these chapters don't fit next to one another is misplaced.  Look at what they tell us about this man, our next President.  He is a Democrat who knows Democrats can own foreign policy, that, "<a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/08/28/barack-obama-democratic-c_n_122224.html">We are the party of Roosevelt. We are the party of Kennedy.</a>"  And he is a loving husband and father, who understands why America needs to be safe and strong, not for the sake of power, but for the sake of preserving the American dream that has been our motivating force for centuries.  He is a man comfortable in his own skin, who knows why he sought the position he just won.</p>

<p>Obama opens the chapter on foreign policy with a lengthy discussion of his experience as a child in Indonesia, followed by a brief outline of the country's history since that time.  Combined with having a Kenyan-born father, it seems fair to suggest that Obama has the most personal connection to the world beyond our shores than previous occupants of the Oval Office.  He uses American involvement in Indonesia as a start point for analyzing the isolationist/expansionist/internationalist cycles that our foreign policy has experienced since the country's founding.</p>

<p>As the campaign debates over Iran and "preconditions' made clear, Obama is in favor of expanding the use of high-level diplomacy far beyond what the current administration pursued for most of the past eight years.  And his rhetoric on Iraq has been consistent: it was a mistake to go there and we need to figure out a responsible way to leave.  He pulls no punches in the book, calling the invasion "a strategic blunder" and squarely rejecting the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bush_Doctrine#Preventive_strikes">Bush doctrine</a>:</p>

<blockquote>[W]e have the right to take unilateral military action to eliminate an <i>imminent</i> threat to our security--so long as an imminent threat is understood to be a nation, group, or individual that is actively preparing to strike U.S. targets... and has or will have the means to do so in the immediate future.  Al Qaeda qualifies under this standard, and we can and should carry out preemptive strikes against them wherever we can.  Iraq under Saddam Hussein did not meet this standard.</blockquote>

<p>It was really amazing to see how over the course of 2008, the Bush administration slowly began to adopt so many of the Obama foreign policy positions.  Obama favored talks with Iran and North Korea, and we <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/07/19/AR2008071901597.html">had talks in North Korea</a>.  Obama favored striking into Pakistan against high-value Al Qaeda targets, and we <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/meast/09/30/pakistan.strike/">struck into Pakistan</a>.  Obama pushed for a firm timeline for U.S. troop withdrawal from Iraq, and we <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/10/16/us-iraq-withdrawal-plan-r_n_135212.html">negotiated a timeline</a>.  Now comes word that Obama's election has <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/07/world/middleeast/07iraq.html?ref=middleeast">already created progress</a> in Iraq:</p>

<blockquote>Iraqi Shiite politicians are indicating that they will move faster toward a new security agreement about American troops, and a Bush administration official said he believed that Iraqiscould ratify the agreement as early as the middle of this month.

<p>"Before, the Iraqis were thinking that if they sign the pact, there will be no respect for the schedule of troop withdrawal by Dec. 31, 2011," said Hadi al-Ameri, a powerful member of the Islamic Supreme Council of Iraq, a major Shiite party. "If Republicans were still there, there would be no respect for this timetable. This is a positive step to have the same theory about the timetable as Mr. Obama."</blockquote></p>

<p>What a change for foreigners to believe in the good faith of the American President.</p>

<p>In the final chapter of his book, Obama turns inward once again, to the family that has been his sustaining force these past few strenuous years.  He recounts how he met and fell in love with the beautiful, powerful woman who would be his wife, how he was welcomed into her extended family, conventional in a way he'd never enjoyed in his own.  He segues from their experience to the nationwide shift toward dual-income households where both parents work, often because they have to, and this is having an effect on their children.  But he rejects the notion that this implies less care for the children, pointing out that there are sacrifices either way:</p>

<blockquote>[F]or the average American woman the decision to work isn't simply a matter of changing attitudes.  It's a matter of making ends meet... for most families, having Mom stay at home means living in a less-safe neighborhood and enrolling their children in a less-competitive school.  That's not a choice most Americans are willing to make.  Instead they do the best they can under the circumstances, knowing that the type of household they grew up in.. has become much, much harder to sustain.</blockquote>

<p>He reflects on the hardships his own career ambitions placed on Michelle, and is sufficiently self-aware to recognize that she was the one who make adjustments.  He also recognizes that as professionals, they had more flexible schedules than most, "enough income to cover all the services that help ease the pressures of two-earner parenthood," and a semi-retired mother-in-law to babysit.  Since these luxuries are unavailable to most Americans, however, he recognizes that additional support is needed.  An opportunity for government, not to solve the problem, but to assist those who are working diligently to better themselves and their families:</p>

<blockquote>[I]f we're serious about family values, then we can put policies in place that make the juggling of work and parenting a little bit easier.  We could start by making high-quality day care affordable for every family that needs it.  In contrast to most European countries, day care in the United States is a haphazard affair.  Improved day-care licensing and training, an expansion of the federal and state child tax credits, and sliding-scale subsidies to families that need them all could provide both middle-class and low-income parents some peace of mind during the workday--and benefit employers through reduced absenteeism.</blockquote>

<p>He has further proposals centered on investments in education, flexible work schedules and mandated paid family leave (the U.S. stands nearly alone among wealthy nations in its failure to provide this benefit).  What is striking about all his ideas is that they do not presume that government should be a big brother, dictating the terms and conditions of parenting.  They presume that government should be more like that semi-retired mother-in-law, giving that extra bit of support that gives parents the time and energy to fulfill their own plans to raise successful children.</p>

<p>Again, a truly extraordinary book.  I'm eager to see these ideas put into action.</p>]]>
        
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</entry>

<entry>
    <title>Book Review - The Audacity of Hope by Barack Obama, II</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003115.html" />
    <id>tag:www.handfulofsand.com,2008://1.3115</id>

    <published>2008-11-10T13:44:43Z</published>
    <updated>2008-11-07T18:25:21Z</updated>

    <summary>n Friday I discussed the first half of President-Elect Obama&apos;s 2006 book, The Audacity of Hope, which I read in the week before the election in order to better understand the man I would be voting for, and reinvigorate my...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>gabriel</name>
        <uri>http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/</uri>
    </author>
    
        <category term="Book Reviews" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
        <category term="Books" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
        <category term="Politics" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.handfulofsand.com/">
        <![CDATA[<p><img align=right id="blogphoto" src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/blog/audacity2.jpg" alt="audacity2.jpg"/><img align=left src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/letters/o.gif" title="O" alt="O"/>n Friday I <a href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003113.html">discussed</a> the first half of President-Elect Obama's 2006 book, <a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0307237702/handfulofsand-20"><i>The Audacity of Hope</i></a>, which I read in the week before the election in order to better understand the man I would be voting for, and reinvigorate my passion for seeing him in the White House.  The early chapters of the book lay out his vision of the political process, the purposes of government, and the supremacy of the Constitution.  The middle of the book is dominated by his now familiar domestic policy agenda, focusing on education, energy, and economics.</p>

<p>Obama follows these chapters with a focus on two traditional minefields for Democrats: faith and race.  It is in these areas that he has probably shown the greatest innovation.  He has demonstrated the possibilities of common ground and the power of a progressive agenda on these issues in a way that no other Democrat, even those who are great leaders on policy matters, has been able to achieve.  First, his focus on faith, which was a major area in which his campaign deliberately departed from those of Kerry and Gore:</p>

<blockquote>When we abandon the field of religious discourse--when we ignore the debate about what it means to be a good Christian or Muslim or Jew; when we discuss religion only in the negative sense of where or how it should not be practiced, rather than in the positive sense of what it tells us about our obligations toward one another; when we shy away from religious venues and religious broadcasts because we assume that we will be unwelcome--others will fill the vacuum.  And those who do are likely to be those with the most insular views of faith, or who cynically use religion to justify partisan ends.

<p>More fundamentally,  the discomfort of some progressives with any hint of religiosity has often inhibited us from effectively addressing issues in moral terms.  Some of the problem is rhetorical: Scrub language of all religious content and we forfeit the imagery and terminology through which millions of Americans understand both their personal morality and social justice.  Imagine Lincoln's Second Inaugural Address without reference to "the judgments of the Lord," or King's "I Have a Dream" speech without reference to "all of God's children."  Their summoning of a higher truth helped inspire what had seemed impossible and move the nation to embrace a common destiny.</blockquote></p>

<p>He goes on to emphasize that the "failure as progressives to tap into the moral l underpinnings of the nation is not just rhetorical," but "may also lead us to discount the role that values and culture play in addressing some of our most urgent social problems."  Like <a href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003102.html">Robert Reich</a>, Obama believes that the mantle of public morality is one that can be harnessed to advance the progressive agenda.</p>

<p>His perspective on race, discussed so eloquently in his <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/03/18/obama-race-speech-read-t_n_92077.html">speech last March</a>, is explored at length via anecdotes about his childhood, his campaigns in Illinois, and his observations of modern American life.  Though some of the discussion centers on aspects unique to African-Americans, for the most part Obama is explicitly inclusive of the growing Hispanic community in his exploration of the continuing racial divide, and the inequality that accompanies it.  He somehow anticipates the campaign John McCain would come to run in the last two weeks of the election, in which the implication would be made that the black candidate wanted to take white money and "spread the wealth" to minorities, and rejects this dichotomy out of hand:</p>

<blockquote>These days, what ails working-class and middle-class blacks and Latinos is not fundamentally different from what ails their white counterparts: downsizing, outsourcing, automation, wage stagnation, the dismantling of employer-based health-care and pension plans, and schools that fail to teach young people the skills they need to complete in a global economy.  And what would help minority workers are the same things that would help white workers: the opportunity to earn a living wage, the education and training that lead to such jobs, labor laws and tax laws that restore some balance to the distribution of the nation's wealth, and health-care, child care, and retirement systems that working people can count on.</blockquote>

<p>By emphasizing solutions that do not rely on racial preferences, even though they might dramatically benefit the minority community, Obama removes the racial wedge that conservatives have relied on for so long.  He also speaks with authority in his admonition of minority communities that have failed to do everything in their own power to improve their lot:</p>

<blockquote>We should agree that the responsibility to close the gap can't come from government alone; minorities, individually and collectively, have responsibilities as well.  Many of the social or cultural factors that negatively affect black people, for example, simply mirror in exaggerated forms problems that afflict America as a whole: too much television (the average black household has the television on more than eleven hours per day), too much consumption of poisons (blacks smoke more and eat more fast food), and a lack of emphasis on educational achievement.

<p>Then there's the collapse of the two-parent black household, a phenomenon that is occurring at such an alarming rate when compared to the rest of American society that what was once a difference in degree has become a difference in kind, a phenomenon that reflects a casualness toward sex and child rearing among black men that renders children more vulnerable--and for which there is simply no excuse.</blockquote></p>

<p>Like Nixon going to China, this is the sort of stuff that even the most trusted white politicians simply cannot say; for all the talk of Bill Clinton as the "first black president," he could never have made headway on the deterioration of black fatherhood.  But Obama is not conceding to the conservative smear that lazy blacks are responsible for their own misfortune.  He recognizes systemic disadvantages and has reasonable proposals for how government can give a hand up:</p>

<blockquote>Strategies like an expanded Earned Income Tax Credit that helps all low-wage workers can make an enormous difference in the lives of these women and their children.  But if we're serious about breaking the cycle of intergenerational poverty, then man of these women will need some extra help with the basics that those living outside the inner city take for granted.  They need more police and more effective policing in their neighborhoods, to provide them and their children some semblance of personal security.  They need access to community-based health center that emphasize prevention--including reproductive health care, nutritional counseling, and in some case treatment for substance abuse.  They need a radical transformation of the schools their children attend, and access to affordable child care that will allow them to hold a full-time job or pursue their education.</blockquote>

<p>By combining a recognition that minority communities bear a great responsibility for self-improvement and agreement that the welfare reform of the 1990s was a valid first-step, Obama has the credibility to establish that demands on the community must be matched by social programs that create the environment in which self-improvement can take place.  There is just no sense in talking about minority parents taking a greater role in their children's education when they are working two jobs.  How much blame can be placed on a young black or Hispanic child for dropping out of a school that could not meet basic educational standards?</p>

<p>The very fact of Obama's victory in this election is an opportunity to turn a page, and write a new chapter.  But it is only an opportunity, not a <i>fait accompli</i>.  And while the President-Elect must lead, he can't be the only leader.  The rest of us need to shoulder our share of the burden.</p>

<p>The last two chapters of the book are dichotomous, focusing on foreign policy and then family, but they demonstrate in their own ways the professional and personal strengths of our next President.  I'll wrap up that discussion tomorrow.</p>]]>
        
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</entry>

<entry>
    <title>Book Review - The Audacity of Hope by Barack Obama, I</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003113.html" />
    <id>tag:www.handfulofsand.com,2008://1.3113</id>

    <published>2008-11-07T13:34:49Z</published>
    <updated>2008-11-08T00:27:03Z</updated>

    <summary>hough I had been supporting his candidacy for months, and felt pretty comfortable with my knowledge of his positions, before actually casting my ballot for Barack Obama on Tuesday I thought it would be nice to actually read his own...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>gabriel</name>
        <uri>http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/</uri>
    </author>
    
        <category term="Book Reviews" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
        <category term="Books" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
        <category term="Politics" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.handfulofsand.com/">
        <![CDATA[<p><img align=right id="blogphoto" src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/blog/audacity.jpg" alt="audacity.jpg"/><img align=left src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/letters/t.gif" title="T" alt="T"/>hough I had been supporting his candidacy for months, and felt pretty comfortable with my knowledge of his positions, before actually casting my ballot for Barack Obama on Tuesday I thought it would be nice to actually read his own words. So I started <a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0307237702/handfulofsand-20"><i>The Audacity of Hope</i></a>, which he published in October 2006.  At the time, he had been a U.S. Senator for 20 months, and had a bright future ahead of him.</p>

<p>The publication of this book would, in fact, fast-forward that future, and play a role in his decision to run for President, as we've learned from Evan Thomas' <a href="http://www.newsweek.com/id/167582">new account</a> in <i>Newsweek</i>.  One of the early backers of his candidacy was D.C. powerhouse attorney <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greg_Craig">Gregory Craig</a>, a former aide to Senator Kennedy and personal lawyer to President Clinton:</p>

<blockquote>Craig read Obama's book "The Audacity of Hope," which, Craig said, "floored me," and later chanced to ride with Obama on the Washington shuttle. He read Obama's earlier autobiography, "Dreams From My Father," and was "blown away," he recalled. "In my judgment, he showed more insight and maturity than Bill Clinton at the age of 60 in terms of understanding himself." In November 2006, Craig sat next to George Stevens, an old friend of the Robert Kennedy clan, at another Obama speech. Stevens leaned over to Craig and said, "What do you think of this guy for president? I haven't heard anybody like this since Bobby Kennedy." Craig instantly replied, "Sign me up." Stevens and Craig approached Obama coming out of the speech and asked, "What are you doing in 2008?" Obama gave them a big grin and said, "Oh, man, it wasn't that good."</blockquote>

<p>Well, I don't know about the speech he gave that day, but this book <i>is</i> that good.  It is easily the best writing I have ever seen from a politician, and probably the best political writing from any source.  Obama has a rare talent for sounding both intelligent and genuine; he addresses the issues, but gives his perspective roots in his personal experience.  His ability and willingness to reflect on his own mistakes and weaknesses is something normally seen only in retired politician looking back on his career, not rising stars looking for the next step up:</p>

<blockquote>I am new enough on the national political scene that I serve as a blank screen on which people of vastly different political stripes project their own views.  As such, I am bound to disappoint some, if not all, of them.  Which perhaps indicates a second, more intimate theme to this book--namely, how I, or anybody in public office, can avoid the pitfalls of fame, the hunger to please, the fear of loos, and thereby retain that kernel of truth, that singular voice within each of us that reminds us of our deepest commitments.

<p>Recently, one of the reporters covering Capitol Hill stopped me on the way to my office and mentioned that she had enjoyed reading my first book.  "I wonder," she said, "if you can be that interesting in the next one you write." By which she meant, I wonder if you can be honest now that you are a U.S. senator.</p>

<p>I wonder, too, sometimes.</blockquote></p>

<p>If the rest of the book is any indication, he could.  Or at least to a vastly greater extent than we've come to expect from our politicians.  Much of what he writes seems familiar now.  After all, his first chapter is a discussion of the partisan rancor that has consumed Congress for the past decade and a half, and the need to end the "trivialization of politics."  And <a href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003104.html">having just read</a> Robert Reich's <a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/1400076609/handfulofsand-20"><i>Reason</i></a>, I couldn't help but hear echoes of that text as well.  Consider <Reich's call for Democrats to a href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003102.html">seize the mantle</a> of public morality, and compare it to Obama's discussion of values:</p>

<blockquote>I think Democrats are wrong to run away from a debate about values, as wrong as those conservatives who see values only as a wedge to pry loose working-class voters from the Democratic base.  It is the language of values that people use to map their world.  It is what can inspire them to take action, and move them beyond their isolation... [T]he broader question of shared values--the standards and principles that the majority of Americans deem important in their lives and in the life of the country--should be the heart of our politics, the cornerstone of any meaningful debate about budgets and projects, regulations and policies.</blockquote>

<p>Reich argued that the values argument could be made effectively against the culture of corporate greed and corruption, and Obama agrees, pointing out that "conservatives should at least be wiling to speak out against unseemly behavior in corporate boardrooms with the same moral force, the same sense of outrage, that they direct against dirty rap lyrics."  What Reich and Obama share is a confidence that liberal ideas are not just right, but worthy of being lauded in public rhetoric.</p>

<p>Obama is also particularly skilled at pointing out conservative straw-man attacks, explaining why they are wrong, and then re-framing the discussion to demonstrate the strength of his own position.  One of the standard Republican lines of attack for decades has been that liberals are fans of big government and believe that government can solve all your problems.  John McCain tried to use this line of attack at various times, particularly in response to the health care question at the second debate.  But Obama has figured out the perfect response.  First, he points out that he does not, in fact, believe that government can solve every problem.  He triumphs, for example, the importance of family in educating children.  He then re-frames the discussion:</p>

<blockquote>Like many conservatives, I believe in the power of culture to determine both individual success and social cohesion, and I believe we ignore cultural factors at our peril.  But I also believe that our government can play a role in shaping that culture for the better--or for the worse.</blockquote>

<p>This message, that while government can not solve all our problems, it can solve some of them and help with others, is resonating at this moment for good reason.  The country is bearing the burden of eight years of excessive deregulation and governmental indifference to issues that beg for collective action: health care, renewable energy, the environment.  So to have a presidential candidate tell us that government can help, and will help... well you saw the election results.</p>

<p>Another strength that Obama's candidacy brought, of special importance to those of us with legal minds, is his deep understanding and respect for the Constitution.  A former law professor, Obama speaks with great conviction about the importance of that document in our civic life, a welcome change after an administration that seemed to view it as, at best, an obstacle.  Obama dedicates the entire third chapter of his book to this topic, and he covers a range of issues from the filibuster to strict constructionism, finally stating his own preference for "Justice Breyer's view of the Constitution--that it is not a static but rather a living document, and must be read in the context of an ever-changing world."  Sure, I love this; that's my position as well.  But what is really moving to me is to have a man in the Oval Office who can think so intelligently about what these positions mean:</p>

<blockquote>It's not just absolute power that the Founders sought to prevent.  Implicit in its structure, in the very idea of ordered liberty, was a rejection of absolute truth, the infallibility of any idea or ideology or theology or "ism," any tyrannical consistency that might lock future generations into a single, unalterable course, or drive both majorities and minorities into the cruelties of the Inquisition, the pogrom, the gulag, or the jihad.  The Founder may have trusted in God, but true to the Enlightenment spirit, they also trusted in the minds and senses that God had given them.</blockquote>

<p>Obama follows with chapters exploring the nature of modern politics and the meaning of opportunity and how to expand it through investments in education, science, and energy.  Much of what he lays out in these chapters took real form in his campaign: his refusal to take money from lobbyists or PACs, the democratizing of fundraising through small online donors, and his repeated emphasis on investment in schools, research, and renewable sources of energy.  The midsection of this book, written and published in 2006 before his candidacy was even announced, remain the core of Obama's policy proposals.</p>

<p>In the last third of the book, Obama tackles several of the most difficult topics for any Democratic politician: faith, race, and national security.  More on this Monday.</p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>David Axelrod, Senior White House Adviser</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003116.html" />
    <id>tag:www.handfulofsand.com,2008://1.3116</id>

    <published>2008-11-06T20:25:10Z</published>
    <updated>2008-11-06T23:47:29Z</updated>

    <summary>ould the Obama White House get any more West Wing? Lots of ink has been spilled about life imitating art imitating life, what with the Obama-inspired Matt Santos character winning the presidential election against an aging, maverick Republican senator from...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>gabriel</name>
        <uri>http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/</uri>
    </author>
    
        <category term="Politics" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.handfulofsand.com/">
        <![CDATA[<p><img align=right id="blogphoto" src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/blog/axelrod2.jpg" alt="axelrod2.jpg" title="David Axelrod"/><img align=left src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/letters/c.gif" title="C" alt="C"/>ould the Obama White House get any more <i>West Wing</i>? Lots of ink has been spilled about <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/media/2008/oct/30/westwing-television-usa-elections-obama">life imitating art imitating life</a>, what with the Obama-inspired Matt Santos character winning the presidential election against an aging, maverick Republican senator from a western state, only for Obama to do the same.  And yesterday <a href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003111.html">we saw it again</a>, with Rahm Emanuel following the character he inspired (Josh Lyman) into the position of Chief of Staff.</p>

<p>Now comes word that David Axelrod will <a href="http://blogs.abcnews.com/george/2008/11/axelrod-emanuel.html?xid=rss-page">take a position</a> as a Senior Adviser in the White House.  While this does not come as much surprise, come on. Look at this guy.  Could he be any more <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toby_Ziegler">Toby Ziegler</a> if he tried?  Note that Axelrod/Ziegler is close friends with Emanuel/Lyman, and <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/27/us/politics/27axelrod.html">it is reported</a> that like Ziegler, of the major campaign players he has known the candidate the "longest and has the most interwoven relationship with [him]."</p>

<p>On a more serious note, this is great news for the Obama White House.  Axelrod has a long personal and working relationship with Emanuel and the President-Elect, and if Emanuel understands Washington politics, Axelrod understands electoral realities.<br />
</p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>Democrats Gain 6 Senate Seats</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003114.html" />
    <id>tag:www.handfulofsand.com,2008://1.3114</id>

    <published>2008-11-06T18:20:54Z</published>
    <updated>2008-11-07T01:55:54Z</updated>

    <summary>ust two years after gaining six seats in the Senate, Democrats are poised to at least match that total again this year. With the mail-in votes finally being tallied in blue strongholds, Jeff Merkley has defeated incumbent Gordon Smith in...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>gabriel</name>
        <uri>http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/</uri>
    </author>
    
        <category term="Politics" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.handfulofsand.com/">
        <![CDATA[<p><img align=left src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/letters/j.gif" title="J" alt="J"/>ust two years after gaining six seats in the Senate, Democrats are poised to at least match that total again this year.  With the mail-in votes finally being tallied in blue strongholds, Jeff Merkley <a href="http://www.oregonlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2008/11/merkley_declares_victory_thurs.html">has defeated </a>incumbent Gordon Smith in Oregon.  Here are the six newest members of the Senate's Democratic Caucus:</p>

<p align="center"><img id="centerphoto" src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/blog/kay_hagan.jpg" alt="kay_hagan.jpg" title="Kay Hagan"/><img style="margin-left:2px;" id="centerphoto" src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/blog/jeff_merkley.jpg" alt="jeff_merkley.jpg" title="Jeff Merkley"/><img style="margin-left:2px;"id="centerphoto" src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/blog/jeanne_shaheen.jpg" alt="jeanne_shaheen.jpg" title="Jeanne Shaheen"/><br/>
<img style="margin-top:2px;"id="centerphoto" src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/blog/mark_udall.jpg" alt="mark_udall.jpg" title="Mark Udall"/><img style="margin-top:2px; margin-left:2px;"id="centerphoto" src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/blog/tom_udall.jpg" alt="tom_udall.jpg" title="Tom Udall"/><img style="margin-top:2px;margin-left:2px;"id="centerphoto" src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/blog/mark_warner.jpg" alt="mark_warner.jpg" title="Mark Warner"/></p>

<p>Clockwise from top left: Kay Hagan (D-NC), Jeff Merkley (D-OR), Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH), Mark Warner (D-VA), Tom Udall (D-NM), Mark Udall (D-CO).</p>

<p>These are, of course, not all the new Democratic senators that we'll be seeing in the next Congress.  There are still close races not yet called in Minnesota and Alaska, as well as a likely run-off here in Georgia.  More obviously, though, we are soon to have <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/06/us/politics/06successor.html">new senators from Illinois and Delaware</a> to replace a couple of guys who've found work elsewhere.</p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>Robert Gibbs, Press Secretary</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003112.html" />
    <id>tag:www.handfulofsand.com,2008://1.3112</id>

    <published>2008-11-06T14:59:28Z</published>
    <updated>2008-11-07T00:30:02Z</updated>

    <summary>nother face we will be seeing a lot of over the next several years belongs to Robert Gibbs, who will be the next White House Press Secretary, according to Politico. Gibbs has been around for awhile. He was the communications...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>gabriel</name>
        <uri>http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/</uri>
    </author>
    
        <category term="Politics" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.handfulofsand.com/">
        <![CDATA[<p><img align=right id="blogphoto" src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/blog/gibbs.jpg" alt="Robert Gibbs" title="Robert Gibbs"/><img align=left src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/letters/a.gif" title="A" alt="A"/>nother face we will be seeing a lot of over the next several years belongs to <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Gibbs">Robert Gibbs</a>, who will be the next White House Press Secretary, according to <a href="http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1108/15364.html"><i>Politico</i></a>.  Gibbs has been around for awhile.  He was the communications director for the early part of Kerry's 2004 campaign, worked on a variety of Senate campaigns, and has been Obama's communications director since the start of the campaign.  He "has unquestioned authority, access and institutional memory," which will boost his credibility with the press.</p>

<p>He's also as tough as they come.  Just check out this clip of Gibbs on <i>Hannity & Colmes</i> from a few weeks ago.  This was during that ten days or so when the McCain theme of the moment was Obama's guilty-by-association with William Ayers.  Sean Hannity had just done an hour-long smear job on Obama that was largely based on the frivolous claims of a fellow named Andy Martin, a <a href="http://www.huonpost.com/2008/10/06/hannity-quotes-anti-semit_n_132236.html">documented anti-Semite</a>.  So when Hannity started going after the Obama-Ayers smear, Gibbs asked Hannity, "Are you anti-Semitic?":</p>

<center><object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/YjWnpeH31ds&hl=en&fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/YjWnpeH31ds&hl=en&fs=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"></embed></object></center>

<p>Robert Gibbs taking over from the sycophantic Dana Perino?  That's change we can believe in.  Unfortunately, it does break the <a href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003111.html">streak of parallels</a> to <i>The West Wing</i>, as <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/C.J._Cregg">C.J. Cregg</a> was loosely based on <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dee_Dee_Myers">Dee Dee Myers</a>, and most definitely not Robert Gibbs.</p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>Rahm Emanuel</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003111.html" />
    <id>tag:www.handfulofsand.com,2008://1.3111</id>

    <published>2008-11-05T20:53:24Z</published>
    <updated>2008-11-07T00:30:06Z</updated>

    <summary>his is a face we might be seeing a lot of over the next several years. If you don&apos;t recognize it, you obviously weren&apos;t paying enough attention to the Clinton White House, where Rahm Emanuel served as a senior adviser...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>gabriel</name>
        <uri>http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/</uri>
    </author>
    
        <category term="Politics" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.handfulofsand.com/">
        <![CDATA[<p><img align=right id="blogphoto" src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/blog/rahm.jpg" alt="Rahm Emanuel" title="Rahm Emanuel"/><img align=left src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/letters/t.gif" title="T" alt="T"/>his is a face we might be seeing a lot of over the next several years.  If you don't recognize it, you obviously weren't paying enough attention to the Clinton White House, where <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rahm_Emanuel">Rahm Emanuel</a> served as a senior adviser to the President until 1998. Or maybe you were paying more attention to the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_Stephanopoulos">spunky little Greek guy</a>.  Emanuel ran for Congress in 2002, led the Democratic Party to major gains in 2006 as chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, and is now the caucus chairman.  It was assumed he had his eye on the Speakership.  Now it seems he may have <a href="http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1108/15314.html">another job in mind</a>:</p>

<blockquote>In his first major move as president-elect, Barack Obama has asked Rep. Rahm Emanuel (D-Ill.), a tough-minded tactician with West Wing experience, to serve as his White House chief of staff, Democratic sources tell Politico.

<p>Emanuel has said to friends that he wants and will take the job, but it was not a done deal as of early this morning. Obama plans to move swiftly with his transition announcement and could name Emanuel this week, the sources said.</blockquote></p>

<p>I like this pick.  It means Obama is serious about getting things done.  Emanuel knows the White House, he knows Congress, and he knows the Democratic Party.  That's the triangle that Obama's plans will live or die in.  And it is a good indication that Obama recognizes that while his own power stems from an ability to inspire and unite, that's not always enough:</p>

<blockquote>Some Democrats have warned that Emanuel's take-no-prisoners style could hurt Obama. But the president-elect wants to move fast to push his legislative agenda through the Democratic-controlled Congress -- and Emanuel knows the Hill and power politics as well as anyone in town.

<p>"Obama wants a bad cop, so he can be good cop 90 percent of the time," an adviser said.</blockquote> </p>

<p>Emanuel is also a strong advocate on Jewish issues; his father was a member of the militant <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Irgun">Irgun</a> in British Palestine, and Emanuel himself served as a civilian volunteer in Israel during the Persian Gulf War.  He <a href="http://thepage.time.com/2008/06/04/rahm-chooses/">accompanied Obama</a> to a meeting with the AIPAC executive board after endorsing him in early June.</p>

<p>The pick would also be fitting if for no other reason than to continue the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_West_Wing"><i>West Wing</i></a> parallels that so many have seen in this election.  Emanuel was reportedly <a href="http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/story/8091986/the_enforcer/">the inspiration</a> for the character of Josh Lyman, President Bartlet's Deputy Chief of Staff.  For those who followed the series to its conclusion, Josh Lyman leaves the White House to run the presidential campaign of Matt Santos, a character <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2008/feb/21/barackobama.uselections2008">inspired in part</a> by Barack Obama.  When Santos wins the election against the older, white maverick Republican Senator from a western state, he makes Lyman his Chief of Staff.  And now the circle is complete.</p>

<p><i>UPDATE:</i> Ezra Klein <a href="http://www.prospect.org/csnc/blogs/ezraklein_archive?month=11&year=2008&base_name=rahm_emanuel#110708">has more</a>.</p>

<p><i>UPDATE II:</i> Michael Crowley at TNR <a href="http://blogs.tnr.com/tnr/blogs/the_stump/archive/2008/11/06/drahma.aspx">raises the question</a> of why this is being played out so publicly in the press.  I've been wondering the same thing.  Emanuel should either take the job or not; going on television to ponder taking the job is ridiculous.</p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>Hillary Clinton</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003110.html" />
    <id>tag:www.handfulofsand.com,2008://1.3110</id>

    <published>2008-11-05T19:34:19Z</published>
    <updated>2008-11-07T00:30:11Z</updated>

    <summary>illary Clinton&apos;s role in this campaign was... complex. My initial support for Barack Obama was in some ways a reaction to the &quot;coronation&quot; of her candidacy, and I was very frustrated with her during the primary campaign, often venting this...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>gabriel</name>
        <uri>http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/</uri>
    </author>
    
        <category term="Politics" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.handfulofsand.com/">
        <![CDATA[<p><img align=right id="blogphoto" src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/blog/hillary.jpg" alt="Hillary Clinton" title="Hillary Clinton"/><img align=left src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/letters/h.gif" title="h" alt="h"/>illary Clinton's role in this campaign was... complex.  My initial support for Barack Obama was in some ways a reaction to the "coronation" of her candidacy, and I was very frustrated with her during the primary campaign, often venting this frustration by putting cash in the Obama campaign coffers.  </p>

<p>It is clear to me now, however, that the extended primary was very positive for the Democratic Party.  It energized Democrats in states that are often ignored, and forced the Obama campaign to build an infrastructure in those states that they were then able to transition straight into the general election.  I'm thinking especially of North Carolina and Indiana, which look like they'll go blue by the narrowest of margins.  I have no doubt that had Hillary Clinton dropped out before those primaries, they would still be red states.</p>

<p>Now that is a process argument as to why we should no longer be mad that Hillary stayed in the race so long.  It is also important to recognize that Hillary Clinton is a tremendous asset to the Democratic Party and to this country.  Once she conceded the nomination, and thus her likeliest shot at the presidency, she made a serious commitment to getting Barack Obama into the White House.  Kevin Drum <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2008/11/hillary.html">says it well</a>:</p>

<blockquote>She ran in one of the toughest Democratic primaries ever, against one of the party's most talented politicians in recent memory, and she took a lot of abuse during that primary -- some of it deserved, most of it not. But in the end, despite what must have been a bitter and searing loss, she campaigned tirelessly and wholeheartedly for the man who beat her. This is something that a lot of people doubted she'd do, and frankly, we all owe her some recognition and gratitude for her role in tonight's victory.</blockquote>

<p>I have no doubt we are going to be seeing some tremendous things from her.  In his speech last night, President-elect Obama said he would be reaching out to Senator McCain for his leadership in the days ahead.  That's nice, but that's certainly not the first phone call he should make when looking for some Senate leadership on the issues that count.  With Senator Kennedy's health and age forcing him to the , there is a real opportunity for Senator Clinton to emerge as the new leader of progressive ideas in that august chamber.</p>

<p><i>UPDATE:</i> Karen Tumulty at <i>Time</i> has a <a href="http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1857006-1,00.html">story</a> on what the future holds for Senator Clinton.</p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>Unwritten Books about Election 2008</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003109.html" />
    <id>tag:www.handfulofsand.com,2008://1.3109</id>

    <published>2008-11-05T18:30:57Z</published>
    <updated>2008-11-06T00:19:48Z</updated>

    <summary>lready I am excited at the thought of a couple really good books that I am sure will be written about the historic election we have just concluded. The first would focus on the Obama campaign, how he went from...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>gabriel</name>
        <uri>http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/</uri>
    </author>
    
        <category term="Books" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
        <category term="Politics" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.handfulofsand.com/">
        <![CDATA[<p><img align=right id="blogphoto" src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/blog/axelrod.jpg" alt="David Axelrod & Barack Obama" title="David Axelrod & Barack Obama"/><img align=left src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/letters/a.gif" title="A" alt="A"/>lready I am excited at the thought of a couple really good books that I am sure will be written about the historic election we have just concluded.  </p>

<p>The first would focus on the Obama campaign, how he went from state senator to President in four years, how he defeated the two most powerful brands in American politics to get there, and how he was able to do it with such little drama.  As President-elect Obama <a href="http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/1108/Remarks_of_PresidentElect_Barack_Obama.html?showall">said last night</a>, with a touch of hyperbole, this was:</p>

<blockquote>[T]he best campaign team ever assembled in the history of politics.</blockquote>

<p>On second thoughts, maybe that isn't hyperbole.  After all, these folks managed to take a first-term African-American Senator with the middle name Hussein to the White House. The inside story of this campaign, when it is finally told, will be an instant purchase for me. </p>

<p><img align=right id="blogphoto" src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/blog/salter_davis.jpg" alt="Lieberman, Salter, McCain, Davis" title="Lieberman, Salter, McCain, Davis"/>Another must-read, for other reasons, will be the dissection of just what happened in the McCain campaign.  Contrary to current GOP spin, the economy was not the sole factor dooming the McCain campaign.  Certainly it didn't make things easier, as the incumbent party is always punished in tough times.  But it was McCain's <i>reaction</i> to the crisis, his lurching around in contrast to Obama's steady hand, that was more damaging.  And the VP pick.... oh my.  We've already got a taste of what's to come, from Robert Draper's <a href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003105.html">lengthy essay</a> from a couple weeks back.  But if that sort of dirt was being dished even before the election, just imagine what's to come.  We've already got these <a href="http://www.newsweek.com/id/167581">new tidbits</a> from <i>Newsweek</i>:</p>

<blockquote>McCain himself rarely spoke to Palin during the campaign, and aides kept him in the dark about the details of her spending on clothes because they were sure he would be offended. Palin asked to speak along with McCain at his Arizona concession speech Tuesday night, but campaign strategist Steve Schmidt vetoed the request.</blockquote>

<p>Some have said it looked like Palin tried to move to the mic after McCain finished last night, only to be mic-blocked by an aide.  We'll have to look for video of that one.  Another bit on one of Palin's notorious rogue moments:</p>

<blockquote>Palin launched her attack on Obama's association with William Ayers, the former Weather Underground bomber, before the campaign had finalized a plan to raise the issue. McCain's advisers were working on a strategy that they hoped to unveil the following week, but McCain had not signed off on it, and top adviser Mark Salter was resisting.</blockquote>

<p>I'm sure one of the post-mortem talking points on the fringe right will be that the McCain campaign mistakenly restrained Palin from going after Obama as hard as she wanted, thus knee-capping themselves.  I have a feeling this narrative will be met by quite a bit of resistance by the McCain camp.  Remember, Steve Schmidt was brought in to win.  Mark Salter has been there all along.  It was Salter, no doubt, who wrote the conciliatory speech last night, and it will be he who leads McCain's rehabilitation, including, if necessary, exposing Palin for what she really is.</p>

<p><i>UPDATE:</i> While we wait for these books to be written, check out the first three (of seven) articles in <i>Newsweek</i>'s behind-the-scenes look at the campaign:  "<a href="http://www.newsweek.com/id/167582">How He Did It</a>," "<a href="http://www.newsweek.com/id/167639">Back From the Dead</a>," and "<a href="http://www.newsweek.com/id/167755">The Long Siege</a>."  Great stuff here, all written by Evan Thomas (whose <a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0743203291/handfulofsand-20">biography of RFK</a> is excellent).</p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>Blues States Getting Bluer</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003108.html" />
    <id>tag:www.handfulofsand.com,2008://1.3108</id>

    <published>2008-11-05T16:09:36Z</published>
    <updated>2008-11-05T16:46:45Z</updated>

    <summary>f course the sexy part of President-Elect Obama&apos;s victory was seeing so many red states from 2000 and/or 2004 turn blue. He could have won with just Iowa, New Mexico and Colorado or Virginia, but that wouldn&apos;t have been nearly...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>gabriel</name>
        <uri>http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/</uri>
    </author>
    
        <category term="Politics" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.handfulofsand.com/">
        <![CDATA[<p><img align=right id="bookphoto" src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/blog/2004election.gif" alt="2004 Election" title="2004 Election"/><img align=left src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/letters/o.gif" title="o" alt="o"/>f course the sexy part of President-Elect Obama's victory was seeing so many red states from 2000 and/or 2004 turn blue.  He could have won with just Iowa, New Mexico and Colorado or Virginia, but that wouldn't have been nearly so sweet.  It is, in fact, difficult to say which formerly red state was the most gratifying to see shaded blue.  </p>

<p>Florida turning blue is cathartic for all Democrats who suffered through the 2000 debacle.  Ohio for similar, if less visceral reasons, and to emphasize just how stupid that Joe-the-Plumber nonsense was.  Virginia has personal resonance for me, having lived there through the 2004 election, when it was a major disappointment.  North Carolina, if the results hold, offers a further beachhead for Democratic inroads in the South.  Iowa is a welcome consolidation of the blue Midwest.  Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada reflect the new blue power in the West; as those states gain electoral votes, the map is going to look uglier and uglier for Republicans.  I think Arizona would be blue if its native son had not been on the Republican ticket.  And some will be most satisfied by the unlikely victory in Indiana, a state that went to George Bush by 21% just four years ago.</p>

<p>That's a lot of states that have turned blue since 2004.  But take a moment and look at just <i>how blue</i> some of them turned.  It looks like the popular vote victory will be around 6%, which is D+8 from 2004.  Note how many of these formerly red states went even further blue than that.  That's the really remarkable story here, and shows why this was a) a blowout and b) a sign of bad things for Republicans in 2012:</p>

<blockquote>Florida<br>
2008: Obama 51 - McCain 48<br>
2004: Bush 52 - Kerry 47<br>
Difference: D+7

<p>Ohio<br />
2008: Obama 51 - McCain 47<br />
2004: Bush 51 - Kerry 49<br />
Difference: D+6</p>

<p>Virginia<br />
2008: Obama 52 - McCain 47<br />
2004: Bush 54 - Kerry 46<br />
Difference: D+13</p>

<p>North Carolina<br />
2008: Obama 50 - McCain 50<br />
2004: Bush 56 - Kerry 44<br />
Difference: D+12</p>

<p>Iowa<br />
2008: Obama 54 - McCain 45<br />
2004: Bush 50 - Kerry 49<br />
Difference: D+10</p>

<p>New Mexico<br />
2008: Obama 57 - McCain 42<br />
2004: Bush 50 - Kerry 49<br />
Difference: D+16</p>

<p>Colorado<br />
2008: Obama 53 - McCain 46<br />
2004: Bush 52 - Kerry 47<br />
Difference: D+12</p>

<p>Nevada<br />
2008: Obama 55 - McCain 43<br />
2004: Bush 50 - Kerry 48<br />
Difference: D+14</p>

<p>Indiana<br />
2008: Obama 50 - McCain 49<br />
2004: Bush 60 - Kerry 39<br />
Difference: D+22</blockquote></p>

<p>That's not the whole story, however.  There are also a number of states that were light blue in 2004 that are now a very <i>dark blue</i>.  In other words, these are states that Bush actually contested, and which McCain might have hoped to pick off.  They are going to look awfully frightening for Republicans come 2012.  Note how most also ran at or ahead of the D+8 national trend.  The most obvious, and most satisfying, is Pennsylvania:</p>

<blockquote>Pennsylvania<br>
2008: Obama 55 - McCain 44<br>
2004: Kerry 51 - Bush 48<br>
Difference: D+8

<p>New Hampshire<br />
2008: Obama 55 - McCain 44<br />
2004: Kerry 50 - Bush 49<br />
Difference: D+10</p>

<p>Wisconsin<br />
2008: Obama 56 - McCain 43<br />
2004: Kerry 50 - Bush 49<br />
Difference: D+12</p>

<p>Minnesota<br />
2008: Obama 54 - McCain 44<br />
2004: Kerry 51 - Bush 48<br />
Difference: D+7</p>

<p>Michigan<br />
2008: Obama 57 - McCain 41<br />
2004: Kerry 51 - Bush 48<br />
Difference: D+13<br />
</blockquote></p>

<p>There are other examples, but these are the most important.  What the Democrats have now, and may very well have for the next decade, are three solid electoral blocs: the Northeast, the Midwest, and the West.  Consolidating gains made in Virginia and North Carolina could leave the Republicans in the wilderness even longer than they expect.</p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>President-Elect Obama</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003107.html" />
    <id>tag:www.handfulofsand.com,2008://1.3107</id>

    <published>2008-11-05T14:21:08Z</published>
    <updated>2008-11-05T14:22:06Z</updated>

    <summary></summary>
    <author>
        <name>gabriel</name>
        <uri>http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/</uri>
    </author>
    
        <category term="Politics" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
    
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        <![CDATA[<p align="center"><img id="centerphoto" src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/blog/president_elect.jpg" alt="president_elect.jpg" title="President-Elect"/></p>]]>
        
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</entry>

<entry>
    <title>Election Day</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003106.html" />
    <id>tag:www.handfulofsand.com,2008://1.3106</id>

    <published>2008-11-04T17:15:22Z</published>
    <updated>2008-11-04T17:30:06Z</updated>

    <summary>his is a day I have been waiting for months. It is the greatest secular ceremony that our society performs. Every four years, we collectively make a choice about what direction our nation should take. It is always a beautiful...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>gabriel</name>
        <uri>http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/</uri>
    </author>
    
        <category term="USA" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.handfulofsand.com/">
        <![CDATA[<p><img align=left src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/letters/t.gif" title="T" alt="T"/>his is a day I have been waiting for months.  It is the greatest secular ceremony that our society performs.  Every four years, we collectively make a choice about what direction our nation should take.  It is always a beautiful thing.</p>

<p>This is the first year I've lived in a state that was actually contested.  I voted for Al Gore in Massachusetts in 2000.  I voted for John Kerry in Virginia in 2004.  Barack Obama does not need Georgia's electoral votes to win, but I did my part to get them for him this morning.</p>

<p>My wife and I woke up at 6am, anticipating long lines at the polls based on the news about recent days at the early voting locations.  After a quick stop at Starbucks for some fuel, we walked the six blocks or so to our polling location, <a href="http://www.allsaintsatlanta.org/home/default.asp?menu_category=Contact%20Us&menuid=540">All Saints' Episcopal Church</a>.  While I can't say I am 100% pleased with the notion of voting at a church, this location was wonderfully free of any partisan signs or campaigning.  The polls opened at 7am, and we arrived about a quarter after.  It took a long time to find the end of the line.</p>

<p align="center"><img id="centerphoto" src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/blog/election1.jpg" alt="election1.jpg" title="Election Day"/></p>

<p>The line wrapped all the way down the block, around the corner, to the end of the other block. While we waited, we made pleasant conversation with the gentleman in front of us, who happened to share my wife's alma mater, and enjoyed the pleasant if cool November morning.  After about 35 minutes, we had made it to the corner.  </p>

<p align="center"><img id="centerphoto" src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/blog/election2.jpg" alt="election1.jpg" title="Election Day"/></p>

<p>There is a deceiving "vote here" sign visible in that photo.  While it points to the correct building, it comes about 50 yards before the actual entrance to the church.  Another hour later, and we made it inside the building.  From there, it took about fifteen minutes to make it to the table where we were issued our electronic key cards to activate the touchscreen voting machine.  There were eleven "pages" of ballots (judges are elected in Georgia, and there were a number of ballot referendums) on the machine.  I cycled through them all, then went back to the first line, the election for the next President of the United States, and cast the proudest vote of my life.</p>

<p>Now I will spend the rest of the day making pies, to distract myself.</p>]]>
        
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</entry>

<entry>
    <title>Liberals and Patriotism; Book Review - Reason by Robert Reich</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003104.html" />
    <id>tag:www.handfulofsand.com,2008://1.3104</id>

    <published>2008-10-24T12:51:57Z</published>
    <updated>2008-10-24T16:48:13Z</updated>

    <summary>lection years always stimulate increased popular interest in politics. But the presence of daily polling and instant analysis via blogs, both of which I have been obsessing over, can too easily direct our attention to the campaign process, the horse...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>gabriel</name>
        <uri>http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/</uri>
    </author>
    
        <category term="Book Reviews" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
        <category term="Books" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
        <category term="Politics" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
    
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        <![CDATA[<p><img align=right id="bookphoto" src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/books/reich_reason.jpg" alt="reich_reason.jpg"/><img align=left src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/letters/e.gif" title="E" alt="E"/>lection years always stimulate increased popular interest in politics.  But the presence of daily polling and instant analysis via blogs, both of which I have been obsessing over, can too easily direct our attention to the campaign process, the horse race, at the expense of the public policy issues at stake.  This is made apparent by the dramatic decline in public attention to politics once the legislating begins, accompanied by a parallel decline in media coverage.</p>

<p>I'm guilty as well.  I did not even pay much attention to the election until <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/story/2008/01/04/ST2008010400230.html">the night of the Iowa caucuses</a>.  I assumed that Senator Clinton was going to win the Democratic primary, and then the election, in a walk.  What a difference a caucus can make.  I opened up my wallet for Senator Obama that night, and have been more or less glued to the Internet since.  I refresh my favorite political blogs with sufficient frequency to raise concerns about the survival of my F5 key.  But this is mostly instant gratification, micro-data from polls and pundits on the campaign, not on our public policy.  The campaign Senator McCain has chosen to run has only further diminished the visibility of key issues on the campaign trail.</p>

<p>I decided to take matters into my own hands, in the way I always do when I want more information: I started looking for books.  I sought out big picture texts on the liberal agenda, and was directed to Robert Reich's <a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/1400076609/handfulofsand-20"><i>Reason</i></a>, Paul Krugman's <a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0393333132/handfulofsand-20"><i>The Conscience of a Liberal</i></a>, and of course, Barack Obama's <a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0307237702/handfulofsand-20"><i>The Audacity of Hope</i></a>.  On specific policy areas, I picked up David Cay Johnston's <a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/1591840694/handfulofsand-20"><i>Perfectly Legal</i></a>, Kevin Phillips' <a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0143038281/handfulofsand-20"><i>American Theocracy</i></a>, and Chris Mooney's <a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0465046762/handfulofsand-20"><i>The Republic War on Science</i></a>.  For some help on understanding what led to the current financial crisis and the reactions to it, I bought Naomi Klein's <a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0312427999/handfulofsand-20"><i>The Shock Doctrine</i></a>, Charles Morris' <a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/1586486918/handfulofsand-20"><i>The Trillion Dollar Meltdown</i></a>, and Kevin Phillips' <a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0143114808/handfulofsand-20"><i>Bad Money</i></a>.</p>

<p>So a big batch of books was headed my way, and I started with the first that arrived. <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Reich">Robert Reich</a>, who maintains <a href="http://robertreich.blogspot.com/">his own blog</a>, became friendly with Bill Clinton during their time together at Oxford as Rhodes Scholars, and then joined Bill and Hillary at Yale Law School.  Many years later, he would serve as Secretary of Labor in Clinton's first administration, and emerged as a leading liberal voice in a decidedly centrist cabinet.  In the years since he left office, he has continued promoting liberal values and politics in his prolific writing, including his 2004 book, <a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/1400076609/handfulofsand-20"><i>Reason</i></a>.</p>

<p>I have already discussed <a href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003099.html">Reich's take</a> on the rise of "radical conservatives," his argument that liberals should not shy from discussions of <a href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003102.html">public morality</a>, and his elucidation of the liberal path to <a href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003103.html">economic prosperity</a>.  The final prong of Reich's liberal rebuttal to the radical conservative ("Radcon") agenda is another hot current events topic: patriotism.  He starts by exposing the superficial nature of the patriotism that conservatism encourages:</p>

<blockquote>The Radcon version of patriotism requires no real sacrifice by most Americans.  And it asks nothing of the more fortunate members of our society.  Radcons don't link patriotism to a citizen's duty to pay his fair share of taxes to support the nation.  And they don't think patriotism requires that all citizens serve the nation.  Theirs is a shallow patriotism that derives its emotional force from disdaining foreign cultures and confronting foreign opponents.  As such, it imperils the future security of America and the world...</blockquote>

<p>Can there be any doubt that this is exactly the type of patriotism that conservatives have been pushing for the last eight years?  And the trend continues.  Let's take a look at the events of just the last week.  Last Tuesday, at fundraiser in North Carolina, <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/10/17/palin-clarifies-what-part_n_135641.html">Sarah Palin said</a>:</p>

<blockquote>We believe that the best of America is in these small towns that we get to visit, and in these wonderful little pockets of what I call the real America, being here with all of you hard working very patriotic, um, very, um, pro-America areas of this great nation.</blockquote>

<p>Sure, sure.  Never mind those people in the big cities.  You know, the ones that terrorists like to attack.  Suffice it to say that these comments were so ill-received that even Palin felt it necessary <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/10/21/AR2008102102449.html">to apologize</a>.   But take a moment to look beyond the denigrating offensiveness, and try and find some actual meaning to what she is saying.  What can she possibly mean by the "real America" or the "pro-America areas" of this country?  It is this same vapid patriotism that Reich was referring to.  </p>

<p>Perhaps to give Palin some covering fire, Republican congressmen have produced their own variations on this theme.  I have already <a href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003099.html">covered</a> Rep. Michele Bachmann's <a href="http://hardblogger.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/10/20/1572959.aspx">rant on Hardball</a> last Friday, when she told Chris Matthews, "I wish the American media would take a great look at the views of the people in Congress and find out: Are they pro-America or anti-America?"  Bachmann was rewarded for this hate-fest via hundreds of thousands of dollars in <a href="http://www.startribune.com/politics/31239379.html">donations to her opponent</a> and a <a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/13853/dccc-to-spend-1-million-in-ads-targeting-bachmann">DCCC influx</a> of an additional $1 million to boot her from her seat.  After <a href="http://tpmtv.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/10/michele_bachmann_denies_saying.php">initially denying</a> she ever made the recorded, televised comments, Bachmann now <a href="http://www.startribune.com/politics/state/31812514.html">regrets going on the show</a>, where she claims "a trap was laid."</p>

<p>Just when it couldn't get any weirder, we got word that while introducing John McCain at a rally on Saturday, North Carolina Rep. Robin Hayes <a href="http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1008/14797.html">told the audience</a> that "liberals hate real Americans that work and accomplish and achieve and believe in God."  That's not the weird part (after all, this language has been par for the course); this is:</p>

<blockquote>The comments were first reported by the New York Observer. When Politico linked to the Observer story on Monday evening, Hayes' spokeswoman Amanda Little called and denied the report. Observer reporter Jason Horowitz told Politico he stood firmly behind the story. Politico left the quote in The Crypt blog but added the Hayes denial.

<p>On Tuesday, two more reporters and two other witnesses confirmed the quote, but Little continued to deny it, calling the story "irresponsible journalism." Little said she had just as many sources who would deny it, including Hayes' staff and Rep. Patrick McHenry (R-N.C.), who spoke before Hayes.</p>

<p>But then Politico obtained an audio file of the Hayes quote from radio reporter Lisa Miller of WFAE. Little backed down, saying that Hayes must have misspoken.</blockquote></p>

<p>Seriously.  Check the <a href="http://www.politico.com/blogs/thecrypt/1008/GOP_Rep_Liberals_Hate_Real_Americans_That_Work_And_Achieve_And_Believe_In_God.html?showall">original blog post</a> to see the blow-by-blow updates.  It is downright embarrassing.  Of course, now that Hayes concedes that he made the statement, he claims "there is no doubt that it came out completely the wrong way."  Hate speech can be tricky that way.</p>

<p>Apparently feeling left out, John McCain got in on the act on Tuesday.  After flubbing an attack on John Murtha by actually agreeing that Western Pennsylvania is "racist," he made a <a href="http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/10/mccain_calls_western_pa_most_p.php">feeble recovery attempt</a>:</p>

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<p>That's right, "Western Pennsylvania is the most patriotic, most god-loving, most patriotic part of America."  Take that Eastern Pennsylvania!  And the rest of America!</p>

<p>But seriously, there is good news in all of this.  Palin had to apologize.  Bachmann's comments were seen as so outrageous that her opponent now has $2 million to spend in two weeks, and she was forced to walk back her statement.  Hayes, under intense media scrutiny, had to explain away a statement he has probably made a dozen times before.</p>

<p>What does this tell you?  That there is another kind of patriotism out there, one that goes far beyond the shallow jingoism spouted by these conservatives.  And it is a patriotism that resonates with the electorate, and can be harnessed.  As Reich put it:</p>

<blockquote>Liberals should embrace patriotism--not the negative and imperialistic version the Radcons are peddling, but a positive patriotism that's better suited to our time: a patriotism that's based on love of America, but not contempt for what's not America; that cherishes our civil liberties and our democratic right to dissent; that understands that our national security depends as much on America's leadership and moral authority in the world as it does on our military might; and that emphasizes what we owe one another as members of the same society.</blockquote>

<p>Any of this sound familiar?  If you had your television tuned to one of the major networks or cable news stations on August 28, 2008, <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/08/28/barack-obama-democratic-c_n_122224.html">it should</a>:</p>

<blockquote>We are the party of Roosevelt. We are the party of Kennedy. So don't tell me that Democrats won't defend this country. Don't tell me that Democrats won't keep us safe. The Bush-McCain foreign policy has squandered the legacy that generations of Americans -- Democrats and Republicans - have built, and we are here to restore that legacy.

<p>As Commander-in-Chief, I will never hesitate to defend this nation, but I will only send our troops into harm's way with a clear mission and a sacred commitment to give them the equipment they need in battle and the care and benefits they deserve when they come home.</p>

<p>I will end this war in Iraq responsibly, and finish the fight against al Qaeda and the Taliban in Afghanistan. I will rebuild our military to meet future conflicts. But I will also renew the tough, direct diplomacy that can prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons and curb Russian aggression. I will build new partnerships to defeat the threats of the 21st century: terrorism and nuclear proliferation; poverty and genocide; climate change and disease. And I will restore our moral standing, so that America is once again that last, best hope for all who are called to the cause of freedom, who long for lives of peace, and who yearn for a better future.</p>

<p>These are the policies I will pursue. And in the weeks ahead, I look forward to debating them with John McCain.</p>

<p>But what I will not do is suggest that the Senator takes his positions for political purposes. Because one of the things that we have to change in our politics is the idea that people cannot disagree without challenging each other's character and patriotism.</p>

<p>The times are too serious, the stakes are too high for this same partisan playbook. So let us agree that patriotism has no party. I love this country, and so do you, and so does John McCain. The men and women who serve in our battlefields may be Democrats and Republicans and Independents, but they have fought together and bled together and some died together under the same proud flag. They have not served a Red America or a Blue America - they have served the United States of America.</p>

<p>So I've got news for you, John McCain. We all put our country first.</blockquote></p>

<p>And Obama has kept hitting back at the most recent ugliness from the Republicans.  Take a look at this <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/10/22/AR2008102203511.htm">Dana Milbank piece</a> from yesterday's <i>Washington Post</i> about Obama's rally in Richmond (note Milbank's mockery of the "Joe the Plumber" meme):</p>

<blockquote>"There are no real parts of the country and fake parts of the country," he told 12,000 supporters. "There are no pro-America parts of the country and anti-America parts of the country. We all love this country, no matter where we live or where we come from. Black, white, Hispanic, Asian, Native American, young, old, rich, poor, gay, straight, city dweller, farm dwellers, it doesn't matter. We're all together."

<p>In recent elections, Democrats were cowed by challenges to their patriotism. But the crowd in Richmond, confident of an Obama victory, brushed off the Palin insult with laughter, a survey of the first row in the arena revealed.</p>

<p>"I'm a terrorist," said Kathleen the Food Vendor.</p>

<p>"We're probably communists," added John the Other Food Vendor, sitting with Kathleen. "I've been hating America ever since I was a young man."</p>

<p>"I was a baby terrorist," offered Terrence the Unemployed Guy. </p>

<p>Obama wasted little time getting to the "careless, outrageous comments" of McCain. "That's what you do when you are out of ideas, out of touch, and you're running out of time." He then had some fun with McCain's Joe-the-Plumber offensive: "He's not fighting for Joe the Plumber; he's fighting for Joe the Hedge Fund Manager." Eventually, he arrived at Palin's "pro-America" charge.</p>

<p>"There are patriots who supported this war in Iraq; there are patriots who opposed it," he said. "There are patriots who believe in Democratic policies and those who believe in Republican policies. The men and women from Virginia and all across this country who serve on our battlefields, some are Democrats, some are Republicans, some are independents, but they have fought together and bled together, and some died together under the same proud flag."</p>

<p>In the heart of real America, the crowd gave Obama a cheer that did not seem at all phony.</blockquote> </p>

<p>Amen to that.  With Reich's book and Senator Obama's campaign, Democrats are reclaiming the meaning of patriotism that has been hijacked by conservative rhetoric for too long.  </p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>Liberals and Economic Prosperity</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003103.html" />
    <id>tag:www.handfulofsand.com,2008://1.3103</id>

    <published>2008-10-23T12:27:18Z</published>
    <updated>2008-10-23T12:50:22Z</updated>

    <summary>ver the past several days, I have discussed Robert Reich&apos;s take on the rise of &quot;radical conservatives,&quot; as well as his argument that liberals should not shy from advancing a moral agenda of their own, each of which comprises a...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>gabriel</name>
        <uri>http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/</uri>
    </author>
    
        <category term="Books" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
        <category term="Politics" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.handfulofsand.com/">
        <![CDATA[<p><img align=right id="blogphoto" src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/blog/reich_obama.jpg" alt="Robert Reich & Barack Obama" title="Robert Reich & Barack Obama"/><img align=left src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/letters/o.gif" title="O" alt="O"/>ver the past several days, I have discussed <a href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003099.html">Robert Reich's take</a> on the rise of "radical conservatives," as well as his argument that liberals should not shy from advancing a <a href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003102.html">moral agenda</a> of their own, each of which comprises a chapter of his 2004 handbook on liberalism, <a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/1400076609/handfulofsand-20"><i>Reason</i></a>.  </p>

<p>The second and third prongs of Reich's liberal rebuttal cover economic prosperity and patriotism, and ways in which liberals can retake these issues from the conservative movement that for decades has claimed them as their own.  In the debate over economics, Reich argues that liberals have made two errors; they have been dismissive of the importance of growth, and they have lost the framing war:</p>

<blockquote>[I]n a debate that seems to pit economic growth against fairness, liberals lose.  Part of the reason lies in how liberals define "fairness."  They make it seem like too squishy an idea -- appropriate for soft hearts rather than hard heads.  Besides, most of the people who are being hurt by Radcon cuts in social spending <i>appear</i> to be poor and black or brown -- "them" rather than "us."  And most of those who are getting tax breaks and accumulating fortunes are people whom a lot of Americans would like to emulate.</blockquote>

<p>We've seen this very phenomenon appear in the past several weeks of the current campaign.  The ridiculous "Joe the Plumber" meme, which the gasping McCain team has <a href="http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/10/15/1550438.aspx">latched onto</a> this past week, is a perfect example.  While the lunatics at the National Review obsessed over Senator Obama's <a href="http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/10/obama_the_friendly_socialist.php">"socialist" beliefs</a>, it was not readily apparent or important to Joe the Plumber himself that he was going to be a <a href="http://thinkprogress.org/2008/10/17/joe-the-plumber-obama-cut/">beneficiary of Obama's tax plan</a>.  Instead, he was more concerned that someday, somehow, he would be rich, and Obama would raise his taxes.  Robert Reich has a better answer to this than Democrats in the past: </p>

<blockquote>Liberals shouldn't abandon convictions about fairness.  But to be persuasive to the rest of America, the ideal of fairness has to be embedded in a hardheaded program to promote prosperity for everyone.  Rather than help wealthy people stay on top, we need to help all working people build their wealth.  The truth is, fairness and growth aren't at odds; they complement each other.  Prosperity is easier to achieve if it's widely shared.</blockquote>

<p>Unfortunately for McCain, and the occupants of the National Review echo-chamber, Reich's sentiment can be heard incorporated throughout <a href="http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/2008/10/spread-the-weal.html">Senator Obama's response</a>:</p>

<blockquote>My attitude is that if the economy's good for folks from the bottom up, it's gonna be good for everybody. If you've got a plumbing business, you're gonna be better off if you've got a whole bunch of customers who can afford to hire you, and right now everybody's so pinched that business is bad for everybody and I think when you spread the wealth around, it's good for everybody.</blockquote>

<p>So while the cynics and the mercenaries want to seize on the "spread the wealth" soundbite, Senator Obama is still consistently winning the argument, because he taps into both of the American economic ideals: growth <i>and</i> fairness.  That's why the <a href="http://people-press.org/report/?pageid=1407">latest polls show</a> he is more trusted on almost every issue related to economics, including the current financial crisis, reducing the deficit, and even taxes, which has been the bread-and-butter of conservative propaganda for decades:</p>

<blockquote>On most domestic issues, Obama enjoys wide leads over McCain. Voters see Obama as the candidate best able to deal with the current economic crisis, 46%-34%. Obama leads 53% to 32% when voters are asked which would do the best job improving the economy more generally. Voters favor Obama on energy issues 53% to 34%. On handling education, the environment and the health care system, Obama holds advantages of more than 25 points over McCain.

<p><b>Half of voters say Obama would do a better job dealing with taxes</b> and reducing the budget deficit, while about a third say McCain would do the better job (35% and 30%, respectively). Obama also holds a nine-point advantage over McCain on the question of who would best limit the influence of lobbyists, up from a four-point edge in mid-September [emphasis added].</blockquote></p>

<p>Certainly part of the reason for Senator Obama's advantage has been the disastrous campaign run by his opponent, whose erratic and negative behavior has destroyed his own credibility on almost every issue.  But part of the reason why such a campaign was necessary was that Obama has so successfully articulated a liberal alternative to the conservative policies that have dug American into a hole.  Consider one of Reich's major insights into the future of American economic growth.  He recognizes that the decline of manufacturing jobs is not the fault of outsourcing, free trade, illegal immigrants, or minorities:</p>

<blockquote>Factor jobs are vanishing all over the world... Robots and numerical machine tools can do factory work more efficiently than people.  Even as manufacturing employment dropped around the globe since the mid-nineties, industrial output rose more than 30 percent.

<p>We should stop pining for "manufacturing" jobs and the days when a lot of people were paid for good money to stand along an assembly line and continuously bolt, fit, solder, or clamp what went by.  Those days are over.  Don't blame poor blacks, Latinos, or all the other usual suspects.</blockquote></p>

<p>In the absence of these jobs, Reich sees a division of available employment into two categories: highly-paid "symbolic analytic" jobs that center on "analyzing, manipulating, and communicating through abstract symbols--numbers, shapes, words, ideas" (think engineering, law, advertising, medicine, finance); and "personal service" jobs, which "are usually paid by the hour, are carefully supervised, and rarely require much more than a high school education."</p>

<p>Reich makes no judgment about the importance of either job to the economy; he simply recognizes that the jobs are not rewarded equally; "the demand for symbolic analysts keeps growing because they add significant value to products and services.  Companies can no longer depend just on economies of scale to keep them competitive."  On the other side, "Most personal service jobs... pay low wages.  Few of these jobs require special qualifications, so many people can do them."</p>

<p>The obvious solution?  Increase the number of symbolic analytic jobs in the United States.  But Reich points out that the standard supply-side, trickle-down economic policies promoted by doctrinal conservatism is antithetical to such growth:</p>

<blockquote>Their solution is to raise the level of savings and reduce consumption in order to create more capital.  You know the drill: Cut the highest income-tax rates; reduce or eliminate taxes on savings, investment income, and wealth; and phase out the estate tax.  Meanwhile, cut spending on social services; privatize public insurance; and relax government regulations on health, safety, and the environment.

<p>The only way to attract global capital and also improve our living standards is to increase the productivity of Americans.</p>

<p>America's basic strategy for economic growth must be to equip a larger portion of our people to add more value to the world economy.  And the way to do this is to increase investments in our people: We need to ensure that a good-quality public education is available to every child from the age of three all the way through at least two years of college, so that any talented American kid can become a symbolic analyst regardless of family income or race.  We need to help personal service workers be more productive by giving them access to better training, and career ladders linking increased expertise to higher pay scales.  We need to provide better health care and improve the environment, so that American can lead fuller and more productive lives, and both feel and be more prosperous.</blockquote></p>

<p>Does Senator Obama have a coherent strategy to meet these demands?  Let's see.  Education?  <a href="http://www.barackobama.com/issues/education/">Check</a>.  Job creation?  <a href="http://www.barackobama.com/issues/economy/">Check</a>.  Health care?  <a href="http://www.barackobama.com/issues/healthcare/">Check</a>.  The environment?  <a href="http://my.barackobama.com/page/content/newenergy">Check</a>.  It should be no surprise, then, to see the bases on which Robert Reich <a href="http://robertreich.blogspot.com/2008/04/obama-for-president.html">endorsed Obama</a>, way back in April when the primary was still hotly contested:</p>

<blockquote>His plans for reforming Social Security and health care have a better chance of succeeding. His approaches to the housing crisis and the failures of our financial markets are sounder than hers. His ideas for improving our public schools and confronting the problems of poverty and inequality are more coherent and compelling. He has put forward the more enlightened foreign policy and the more thoughtful plan for controlling global warming.

<p>He also presents the best chance of creating a new politics in which citizens become active participants rather than cynical spectators. He has energized many who had given up on politics. He has engaged young people to an extent not seen in decades. He has spoken about the most difficult problems our society faces, such as race, without spinning or simplifying. He has rightly identified the armies of lawyers and lobbyists that have commandeered our democracy, and pointed the way toward taking it back.</blockquote></p>

<p>Absolutely.  Tomorrow I will turn to the final chapter of Reich's book, entitled "Positive Patriotism."  In light of comments made in just this last week by Senator McCain, his running mate, and several Republican congressmen, this is a hot topic.  And it is another area where Senator Obama has been pitch-perfect in his response, successfully owning the topic of patriotism such that now it is the conservative darling, Sarah Palin, who is making <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/10/21/palin-apologizes-for-real_n_136665.html">televised apologies</a> for her comments.  Advantage: liberals.</p>]]>
        
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<entry>
    <title>The Making (and Remaking) of McCain</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/archives/003105.html" />
    <id>tag:www.handfulofsand.com,2008://1.3105</id>

    <published>2008-10-22T17:32:25Z</published>
    <updated>2008-10-22T17:56:53Z</updated>

    <summary>ave thirty minutes to gain some real insight into the nature of John McCain&apos;s campaign, and wondering where to spend it? Easy; read Robert Draper&apos;s 8,000 word &quot;The Making (and Remaking) of McCain&quot;, which will appear in The New York...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>gabriel</name>
        <uri>http://www.handfulofsand.com/blog/</uri>
    </author>
    
        <category term="Politics" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.handfulofsand.com/">
        <![CDATA[<p><img align=right id="blogphoto" src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/blog/schmidt_mccain.jpg" alt="Steve Schmidt & John McCain" title="Steve Schmidt & John McCain"/><img align=left src="http://www.handfulofsand.com/images/letters/h.gif" title="H" alt="H"/>ave thirty minutes to gain some real insight into the nature of John McCain's campaign, and wondering where to spend it?  Easy; read Robert Draper's 8,000 word <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/26/magazine/26mccain-t.html?_r=2&oref=slogin&ref=magazine&pagewanted=all&oref=slogin">"The Making (and Remaking) of McCain"</a>, which will appear in <i>The New York Times Magazine</i> this coming Sunday.  A sample:</p>

<blockquote>A senior adviser to McCain said: "The town halls, the ethics bill, immigration reform -- all are examples. I think McCain finds it galling that Obama gets credit for his impressive talk about bipartisanship without ever having to bear the risk that is a part of that. It is so much harder to walk the walk in the Senate than to talk the talk." By extension, then, if the McCain campaign's conduct would appear to be at odds with the man's "true character," it is only because the combination of a dishonorable opponent and a biased media has forced his hand. Or so goes the rationale for what by this month was an increasingly ugly campaign.

<p>The worry among his aides had long been that McCain would let his indignation show. Going into the debates, an adviser expressed that very concern to me: "If he keeps the debates on substance, he's very good. If it moves to the personal, then I think it's a disaster." Accordingly, Salter advised McCain before the first debate to maintain, one person privy to the sessions put it, "a very generous patience with Obama -- in terms of, 'I'm sure if he understood. . . .' "</p>

<p>"The object wasn't to appear condescending at all -- really, the opposite," an adviser said of Salter's tactic, which judging by the postdebate polls seemed to backfire. "You put a bullet in a gun, figuring it'll get shot once. We had no idea it would be shot 10 times."</blockquote></p>

<p>Sure it backfired!  McCain didn't say "'I'm sure if he understood...," he said <a href="http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/10/what_sen_obama_just_doesnt_und.php">"What Sen. Obama just doesn't understand is..."</a>  This is considerably nastier, and he said it over and over again.  And when Senator Obama actually <i>was</i> gracious ("Senator McCain is right"), the McCain campaign made an <a href="http://www.prospect.org/csnc/blogs/ezraklein_archive?month=09&year=2008&base_name=the_mccain_instaad">ill-received, sarcastic ad</a> about it.  </p>

<p>If you were ever looking for a textbook example of an <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Echo_chamber">echo chamber</a>, this is it.  A campaign essentially driven by a candidate's personal animosity toward his opponent, which he simply assumed entitled him to be negative and condescending, no matter how uncalled for and overblown this would seem to the world.  McCain aides specifically point to <a href="http://obama.senate.gov/press/060206-sen_obama_and_s/">an incident</a> (from February 2006!) wherein McCain felt Obama went back on his word to attend a bipartisan meeting on ethics reform, and had Salter write a nasty letter in response. </p>

<p>Perhaps this was a legitimate grievance.  But how many Americans have the slightest notion about this uber-insider baseball stuff from 32 months ago?  That's how the whole article reads; three close advisers basically spent the last year convincing each other to believe their own spin, and apparently failed to notice that: a) no one else did; and b) they were contradicting themselves every few weeks.</p>]]>
        
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